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Rate the kid

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Poll Question: Estimate USATT rating
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    Posted: 06/01/2014 at 12:42pm
The match went to the 5th game.

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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote piligrim Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 12:49pm
where can I buy red shirt like this? :)
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote JacekGM Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 1:39pm
Kid has problem with serving legally, needs a coach. I played with a kid about this level that was (under)rated at about 350 (no missing digits here). This one has a spinny loop on forehand, blocks everything on BH, but overall I don't really see him near as high as 1800, sorry.

Edited by JacekGM - 06/01/2014 at 1:56pm
(1) Juic SBA (Fl, 85 g) with Bluefire JP3 (red max) on FH and 0.6 mm DR N Desperado on BH; (2) Yinhe T7 (Fl, 87 g) with Bluefire M3 (red 2.0) on FH and 0.6 mm 755 on BH.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote mts388 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 2:32pm
Not even close to 1800.  1500 max.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BRS Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 3:39pm
It looks like the kid's reach is too short to topspin over the table so he has to push.  He has developed a nasty half-long push that won him several points.  It's hard to tell anything from one video, maybe he usually makes more of his blocks than he did in this match.  I guess 1950.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote kenneyy88 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 5:19pm
Anywhere from 1400-1700. He can push and block, which can be enough to beat plenty of players. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BH-Man Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 5:26pm
I will believe closer to 1700 than 1400. His sequence at 2:00 is one indicator.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 5:28pm
As a rule I don't try to judge ratings of people I haven't played and kids are even harder to guess.  But this youngster's return of serve -- high and down the middle about 90% of the time against a weak serve -- would be a picnic lunch for most 1900 players.  For now he also lacks reach and touch and anything other than a block on his BH side.  My club is filled with kids like this, a lot with the exact same problems.   Substantially below 1800 --- now.  In another year or two it will be a different matter altogether if he keeps playing because there are a lot of good things too and getting taller will help with some of his issues, playing more will help with others.  Kids like this are 1200 one day, 1700 the next, depends on who they play too. 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote LUCKYLOOP Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 7:00pm
If the kid is under 1800 how come he took that guy to the 5th game with that guy making a lot of strong shots ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ashishsharmaait Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 7:54pm
1500 at max. I play with a lot of kids at our club and they have a counter counter game but have trouble initiating or defending against strong attacks.
I did not see the enough attacks being initiated against pushes. Plus there was no BH and the lack of reach and power. 1500 max.

Edited by ashishsharmaait - 06/03/2014 at 10:38am
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote NextLevel Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 8:57pm
I don't know what people are seeing but this kind is 1700 at the lowest and could be 2000, though he is likely closer to.1800. His push is likely heavier than most of us are giving it credit for and I am sure the misses by his opponent were edited out. The push, block/counter and short wide loops strategy could take down higher rated players easily. I know 1800 rated juniors with similar styles. His rating would be capped by the quality of topspin he can block/counter.

Edited by NextLevel - 06/01/2014 at 9:08pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote skip3119 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 9:04pm
Originally posted by mts388 mts388 wrote:

Not even close to 1800.  1500 max.
=================

I agree with this assessment.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stiltt Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 9:11pm
me too; an established 1700 will destroy the kid; a consistent 1600 will beat him.
I like the way he tries to place the ball short in a crazy angle to his right. He's got some serious placement skills and court awareness.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote LUCKYLOOP Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 9:42pm
Originally posted by fatt fatt wrote:

me too; an established 1700 will destroy the kid; a consistent 1600 will beat him.
I like the way he tries to place the ball short in a crazy angle to his right. He's got some serious placement skills and court awareness.


So, your saying the adult in the red shirt, who loops from both sides, was only 1600-1700 ?
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stiltt Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/01/2014 at 11:56pm
Your  question was about the kid; I did not watch much the guy with the red shirt; he could be 2200 and holding back for that matter...
I was starting at a level the kid does not reach (1700) and closing down on him, passing through 1600 that's still too high; then 1500 sounds about right and I imagine the kid wins 50% of his matches against 1500 rated people.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote LUCKYLOOP Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 9:32am

For your info, the Kid, is the Siberia Russia region champion for 10 U. He is 10 years old.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote stiltt Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 10:00am
Ahh..euh...ok.
A solid 1500-1600 rating is not a low level. Plenty of people in their 1800's may have pbs with a consistent 1500-1600 player, will lose 1 or 2 games and sometimes a match.
Also there are 1550 who miss a lot and they can reach 1800 level when they do not, even win a u1800 event on a good day. Same idea for a consistent 1550 who can rally and push the 1800 players to comnit enough unforced errors to drop the match.
Anyway your kid is a bad example as those can gain a couple hundred points in a couple months of training...
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Baal Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 10:01am
Originally posted by LUCKYLOOP LUCKYLOOP wrote:

Originally posted by fatt fatt wrote:

me too; an established 1700 will destroy the kid; a consistent 1600 will beat him.
I like the way he tries to place the ball short in a crazy angle to his right. He's got some serious placement skills and court awareness.


So, your saying the adult in the red shirt, who loops from both sides, was only 1600-1700 ?
yes
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote dmras Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 10:09am
Originally posted by piligrim piligrim wrote:

where can I buy red shirt like this? :)


As I see only kids sizes are left in Russian internet shop.

http://www.ttshop.ru/shop/sportivnaya-odezhda/forma_sbornoyi_rossii.html
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote geardaddy Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 11:34am
I'd say 1500-ish at best too.  But, he will be much better in few years for sure.

As a comparison, here's Michael Tran at 10 years old (maybe 1900-ish?) and again at 13 (approaching 2200).  Notice at 10 years old how well he can attack, but also adjust and play touch shots.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ls4ZGuXDFN0

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fxC1tANtu1U
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BRS Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 11:39am
Originally posted by NextLevel NextLevel wrote:

I don't know what people are seeing but this kind is 1700 at the lowest and could be 2000, though he is likely closer to.1800. His push is likely heavier than most of us are giving it credit for and I am sure the misses by his opponent were edited out. The push, block/counter and short wide loops strategy could take down higher rated players easily. I know 1800 rated juniors with similar styles. His rating would be capped by the quality of topspin he can block/counter.

People are  seeing the kid play a defensive blocking style, conceding the first attack to his opponent, and they don't like it.  Anyway points won by attacking count two, but blocking or pushing points only count one, didn't you know? 
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BH-Man Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 2:57pm
fatt: can we really say consistent and 1600 in the same sentence with a straight face? 
 
at the same time, fatt is an established player, he also has understanding of Russian TT, so his opinions should never be discounted.
 
(MY opinion only) at 1500-1600 level, players are NOT consistent. Maybe on certain shots or situations they could be high percentage to make them appear to be consistent players, but at that level, they miss too much or fail to handle spin or pace or short to keep them at their level.
 
I can name an entire BRIGADE of Korean players who can be consistent with FH to FH drive  to drive fast pace never miss in 100 shots and do that sequence WAY better than me, (and I am 4 full levels better player than that crowd) yet these are only USATT level 1000-1200 HOPE division players HOPING or ASPIRING to qualify for div 5 city to put their name in the rolls at the least for a tourney.
 
I think consistency is either an illusion or isolated situational thing at 1500ish level.
 
Now if we define consistent as having an inclination to refrain from over-powering the ball and simply strive to get it back and keep it in play at a higher percentage, (without putting any "hot sauce" on the ball) then I would accept that.


Edited by BH-Man - 06/02/2014 at 11:29pm
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote ChichoFicho Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 3:00pm
Red kid - 1700. 
Blue kid -1650.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote piligrim Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 4:42pm
Originally posted by dmras dmras wrote:

Originally posted by piligrim piligrim wrote:

where can I buy red shirt like this? :)


As I see only kids sizes are left in Russian internet shop.

http://www.ttshop.ru/shop/sportivnaya-odezhda/forma_sbornoyi_rossii.html



I don't think they ship outside of Russia
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Pushblocker Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 6:38pm
Originally posted by BH-Man BH-Man wrote:

I will believe closer to 1700 than 1400. His sequence at 2:00 is one indicator.

I agree.. 1700 to 1800 should be about right..
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BH-Man Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 11:17pm
Originally posted by NextLevel NextLevel wrote:

I don't know what people are seeing but this kind is 1700 at the lowest and could be 2000, though he is likely closer to.1800. His push is likely heavier than most of us are giving it credit for and I am sure the misses by his opponent were edited out. The push, block/counter and short wide loops strategy could take down higher rated players easily. I know 1800 rated juniors with similar styles. His rating would be capped by the quality of topspin he can block/counter.
 
I would by no means discount playing some points like this at all. Sometimes, it is a winning strategy playing with some of those tactics.
 
My first tourney I did back in USA last fall (I think JacekGM made a live post of it right after it happened) I played a pretty similar style vs a very consistent (solid mid/upper 200s level) strong looper from distance. On receive, I pushed and asked opponent to open. I stayed close to table and blocked, blocked, blocked, sometimes counter or make a spinny loop, sometimes countered, but mostly blocked fast or slow with angles or at body. That worked well enough for me and I was a full level lower rated / lower skilled player than my opponent yet that playing style worked vs that good opponent at that level. I won 3-0 and that was my 14th match of the day and opponent's 4th.
 
That opponent lost a lot of rating points, but gained them right back (rightfully as he is a good player solid mid 2000 or better) in the next few tourneys. He wasn't over-rated and now I am prolly even lower level from lack of opportunity to train/practice or play competitively.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote BH-Man Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/02/2014 at 11:19pm
Oliver, as much as I am out of time/practice/whatever, I LUV playing vs OX LP players and I would relish to play vs Ur OX LP game for forum glory.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote Re1Mu2R3 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/03/2014 at 2:47am
Kid isn't bad. You should teach him to "Cho" early on. His game will improve exponentially.
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cole_ely Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/03/2014 at 10:23am
If this kid is 1700, I definitely need to come play a tournament wherever you guys play
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Post Options Post Options   Thanks (0) Thanks(0)   Quote cmetsbeltran15 Quote  Post ReplyReply Direct Link To This Post Posted: 06/03/2014 at 10:32am
Originally posted by LUCKYLOOP LUCKYLOOP wrote:

Originally posted by fatt fatt wrote:

me too; an established 1700 will destroy the kid; a consistent 1600 will beat him.
I like the way he tries to place the ball short in a crazy angle to his right. He's got some serious placement skills and court awareness.


So, your saying the adult in the red shirt, who loops from both sides, was only 1600-1700 ?

So, you're saying that, if someone can take a higher opponent to the 5th game in a non-competitive club match, that they are on the same level? Shocked
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